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Hyman Minsky

1919–1996 · 77 years Tier III

The economist nobody believed until 2008 proved him right

Portrait of Hyman Minsky
Pontificador — 2016-10-11 — CC BY-SA 4.0 via Wikimedia Commons

Hyman Minsky grew up in a household built around an argument. His parents were Menshevik emigrants from Belarus who had settled in Chicago's Jewish socialist world, his mother a trade unionist, his father active in the Socialist Party's local section, and economics in that house was never a neutral subject. He finished high school in New York in 1937, took a math degree at the University of Chicago in 1941, and went to Harvard for graduate work, where Joseph Schumpeter and Wassily Leontief supervised a student more interested in how capitalism actually behaved than in how the models said it should.

Minsky taught at Brown, then Berkeley, then spent the bulk of his career, 1965 to 1990, at Washington University in St. Louis, publishing a study of Keynes in 1975 and his central argument, Stabilizing an Unstable Economy, in 1986. The claim was that stability is not a resting state but a trap: calm periods encourage lenders and borrowers to take on debt they could not service if conditions changed, moving the system from safe hedge financing toward speculative and finally Ponzi financing, until something ordinary triggers a crisis the system itself manufactured. He built the argument on balance sheets, not equations, which was reason enough for most of the profession to set it aside. For over two decades almost nobody outside a small post-Keynesian circle used the theory for anything.

The theory cost him the mainstream career it should have earned. Minsky spent thirty years watching interest-rate models and efficient-market assumptions dominate the journals and the Federal Reserve while his own account of how debt actually behaves went essentially unread outside a small circle of post-Keynesian economists. He never held a chair at a top economics department, never won the profession's major prizes, and retired in 1990 to a research institute rather than a named professorship. He died six years before the word built from his name entered the financial press. There is no recorded moment where the discipline that ignored him admitted it, only a slow migration of central bankers, a decade after his death, toward language he had already supplied them.

Minsky died on October 24, 1996, in Rhinebeck, New York, at seventy-seven, largely unread outside his own field. Twelve years later the subprime mortgage collapse handed the financial press a name for what was happening, and John Cassidy's New Yorker essay in February 2008 put "the Minsky moment" into permanent circulation. Central bankers who had never assigned his work in graduate school started citing it in speeches. The Levy Economics Institute, where he had spent his last years as a research scholar rather than a tenured professor, became the place economists went looking for the parts of his archive nobody had bothered to read the first time.

Lifespan

15401700180019002030

Hyman Minsky's life against the full span of the corpus.

Notable works

  • John Maynard Keynes book
    A reinterpretation of Keynes against the neoclassical synthesis
    1975
  • Can "It" Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance book
    Essay collection that carried the financial instability hypothesis to a wider audience
    1982
  • Stabilizing an Unstable Economy book
    His central statement of the theory
    1986
  • Ending Poverty: Jobs, Not Welfare book
    Published posthumously by the Levy Economics Institute, 17 years after his death
    2013

Life in brief

with age at each point
  • September 23, 1919 aged 0 Born in Chicago, Illinois
  • 1937 aged ~18 Graduates George Washington High School in New York City
  • 1941 aged ~22 Earns a B.S. in mathematics from the University of Chicago
  • 1949 aged ~30 Begins teaching at Brown University
  • 1957 aged ~38 Moves to the University of California, Berkeley, as associate professor
  • 1965 aged ~46 Joins Washington University in St. Louis
  • 1975 aged ~56 Publishes John Maynard Keynes
  • 1986 aged ~67 Publishes Stabilizing an Unstable Economy
  • October 24, 1996 aged 77 Dies in Rhinebeck, New York, at 77

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